TCFA issues for 95W invest

Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Joint Typhoon Warning Center

TCFA issues for 95W invest

by Dave Ornauer
Stars and Stripes

3:30 p.m. Friday, June 28, Japan time: A tropical cyclone formation alert has been issued for 95W Invest by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center.

It's still anybody's guess which way 95W might wend. Model track guidance has been all over the lot the last day or so, and currently points to Taiwan as a possible destination.

The GFS model ensemble shows a vast spread among solutions, stretching from Ishigaki in southwestern Japan to northern Luzon. The CMC ensemble shows a similar spread, stretching from Amami Oshima in southwestern Japan to the Philippines' northern Babuyan and Batanes island groups.

Most likely, 95W could develop into a tropical depression in the next day or so. Should it become a named system, it would be called Mun, which is Yapese for the month of June. Might be just in time for the end of the month.

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